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Are the Celtics just chucking threes or missing open shots?

November 5, 2025
in NBA
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The Boston Celtics dropped to three–5 final evening after a tricky 105–103 dwelling loss to the Utah Jazz. It was one of many uglier performances in latest reminiscence, although Jaylen Brown’s 36-point effort practically salvaged the evening. Even in a win, that type of efficiency would’ve sparked some powerful questions, however after Jusuf Nurkic’s putback with simply 0.6 seconds remaining, these questions are solely getting louder.

Rebounding, second-half protection, and the general lack of ability to comprise Keyonte George had been all key components within the Celtics’ loss. However what left most followers befuddled was the workforce’s dismal capturing efficiency, going simply 11-for-51 from past the arc. For years, critics from main media retailers to diehard Celtics followers have claimed that each one this workforce does is dwell and die by the three. Many have referred to as on head coach Joe Mazzulla to rethink his offensive philosophy and prioritize smarter shot choice, and after final evening’s efficiency, these voices solely bought louder.

Whether or not you fall into that group or not, it’s arduous to disregard how regarding it’s to see the Celtics shoot simply 22% from three. Within the breakdown under, I’ll take a better take a look at these makes an attempt, making an attempt to establish which photographs had been large open, open, or contested.

Heading into final evening’s sport, right here’s the place Boston ranked in capturing in response to NBA.com together with their standings in made threes, makes an attempt, and total share on these seems to be.

“Vast open” = 6+ ft of area, “Open” = 4-6 ft of area, “Tight” = 2-4 ft of area, and “Very Tight” = 0-2 ft of area.

56 (eighth)/151(seventh) on large open threes. 37.1% on these ranks nineteenth

41(third)/138 (2nd) on open threes. 29.7% on these ranks twenty fourth

10 (fifth)/40 (2nd) on tight threes. 25% on these ranks fifteenth

And for what it’s price, Boston is 1 of two on very tight threes.

On this sport, in response to NBA.com 50 of the workforce’s 51 threes had been thought-about open or large open.

Whereas my phrase will not be the top all be all and I’m no NBA.com in relation to monitoring information, this was not true in my eyes. Listed below are 5 seems to be I don’t imagine might be thought-about open or large open.

A few these are late within the clock, however the level is I can’t see how solely one in every of our threes was thought-about not open.

Moreover, I made a decision to take a shot at monitoring the makes an attempt myself. It’s price noting that figuring out whether or not a shot is open or contested is extremely subjective. What one particular person sees as open, one other may view as not. Even I discovered myself second-guessing a couple of of those classifications. This course of was difficult, so credit score to the individuals who do that work professionally for the NBA.

Beneath are all of the photographs I put within the large open class.

As you may see, these had been beauty, but the Celtics went 4/16 on these makes an attempt. It’s necessary to notice, although, that simply because a shot is assessed as open or large open doesn’t robotically make it a superb shot. Components like distance, the shooter’s id, and the shot clock state of affairs all play a job. One other key remark: 10 of those 16 seems to be had been within the first quarter. Categorizing these turned rather a lot tougher as the sport went on as a result of the Celtics stopped transferring the ball like they did within the first, which resulted in decrease high quality seems to be.

Beneath is one in every of my favourite possessions of the sport, and I’m glad they bought one other probability at a superb look as a result of they deserved it.

If the Celtics can maintain the ball and participant motion, they showcased within the first quarter for longer stretches all through video games, they need to be simply nice.

Now on to those I assumed had been simply open. I really feel like that is the part that can get essentially the most dialog however right here it’s.

The Celtics went simply 6/19 on these seems to be. As soon as once more, I factored in who the shooter and defender had been in every state of affairs. As an example, there are a number of possessions the place Keyonte George is matched up towards Sam Hauser and given the dimensions distinction, even when George is in shut proximity, his contest seemingly has little influence on Hauser’s shot.

Lastly, listed here are the seems to be I assumed had been contested.

General, by my monitoring, 35 of the Celtics’ 51 three-point makes an attempt had been both open or large open. Nonetheless a strong ratio, particularly contemplating that among the contested seems to be had been pressured late within the shot clock. The early season capturing struggles might be attributed to 2 of the workforce’s greatest shooters, Payton Pritchard and Derrick White, placing up uncharacteristically low numbers. Given their observe information, and if the Celtics can preserve the extent of ball motion they displayed in that first quarter, it’s truthful to count on water to search out its stage.



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