Why Jannik Sinner must make a big run in Vienna to maintain year-end No. 1 hopes | ATP Tour

PIF ATP Dwell Rankings Projection

Why Sinner should make an enormous run in Vienna to keep up year-end No. 1 hopes

Italian attempting to chase down Alcaraz for the honour

October 21, 2025

Carlos Alcaraz is in agency management of the battle for ATP Yr-Finish No. 1 introduced by PIF honours. Can Jannik Sinner make an enormous late-season comeback to grab the accolade from his nice rival?

If Sinner goals of doing so, he should start with a deep run this week on the Erste Financial institution Open in Vienna.

The Italian is competing on the Austrian ATP 500 occasion and may due to this fact add 500 factors to his PIF ATP Dwell Race To Turin complete this week. Ought to he triumph, he would achieve 500 factors on Alcaraz, who just isn’t in motion.

PIF ATP Dwell Race To Turin

That is essential due to the shortage of margin for error Sinner has. The 24-year-old at the moment trails Alcaraz by 2,540 factors within the Dwell Race, which serves as a barometer for the year-end No. 1 battle.

After this week, each stars are scheduled to play the Rolex Paris Masters (max 1,000 factors) and the Nitto ATP Finals (max 1,500 factors). Meaning Sinner must earn each level he can the remainder of the season and hope Alcaraz — who’s 67-7 in 2025 in accordance with the Infosys ATP Win/Loss Index — doesn’t keep his efficiency.

If Sinner lifts the Vienna trophy for the second time, he’ll path the Spaniard by 2,040 factors within the Dwell Race getting into Paris, the place he may slim the deficit much more. Alcaraz would nonetheless have a really wholesome benefit, however a small quantity of strain would start to mount.

If Sinner fails to win a match in Vienna, he would path by 2,540 factors getting into the season’s remaining ATP Masters 1000 occasion.  At that time, even with victories in Paris and Turin, Sinner would have simply 11,000 factors to Alcaraz’s present 11,040. The Italian just isn’t entered in Athens or Metz the week between Paris and Turin.

Each males are pursuing their second ATP Yr-Finish No. 1 introduced by PIF end, with Alcaraz attaining the feat in 2022 and Sinner doing so final 12 months.