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How F1’s recent title battles stood with a third of the season left

September 12, 2025
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Had been this 25 years in the past, reaching the 16-race mark would coincide with the tip of the Formulation 1 season – however in our present 24-race calendar, there’s nonetheless one other third of the season’s runtime to go.

A 31-point margin separates Oscar Piastri and Lando Norris because it stands with eight races left, having swelled from the nine-point hole on the summer season break following Norris’ oil leak in Zandvoort. It is a huge margin, however not one which’s insurmountable – though Piastri actually has an higher hand, the equal of 1.24 grand prix victories. Norris would both want his team-mate to retire from a race, or to all of the sudden maintain a efficiency drop-off, to deliver himself again into play.

Out of curiosity, we thought we would revisit the place latest championship battles have stood with a 3rd of the season left to play and see if the image both modified, or if the championship chief selected the second to interrupt away from the peloton.

2021: Hamilton two factors away from Verstappen after one hundredth GP win

Lewis Hamilton, Mercedes W12, 1st place, takes victory to the delight of his group on the pitwall

Picture by: Steve Etherington / Motorsport Photos

In a rain-affected Sochi encounter, Lewis Hamilton gave chase to long-time chief Lando Norris – and the stress on his countryman paid off when the rain fell; Norris slipped off the highway, delaying his first grand prix victory by virtually three years. This, in the meantime, was Hamilton’s one hundredth grand prix win, a end result that put him on 246.5 factors – simply two greater than Max Verstappen.

By ending second in Turkey versus Hamilton’s fifth, Verstappen moved forward by six factors, then prolonged it to 12 factors after profitable at america GP after absorbing stress from the Mercedes. It rose once more in Mexico to 19 factors, earlier than Hamilton reduce it right down to 14 in Brazil.

The ebb and move continued; Hamilton’s Qatar win took the hole right down to eight factors, after which his follow-up victory and quickest lap in Jeddah put them on 369.5 factors apiece heading into the Abu Dhabi finale.

After all, what occurred subsequent will stay one of the crucial well-known title deciders in F1 historical past – and the final-lap swing, as Verstappen used his more energizing tyres to go Hamilton following a contentious security automobile restart, led to the Dutchman clinching his first world title in type.

2018: Hamilton begins his eventual breakaway from Vettel

Sebastian Vettel, Ferrari SF71H facing the wrong way after making contact with Lewis Hamilton, Mercedes AMG F1 W09

Sebastian Vettel, Ferrari SF71H going through the flawed manner after making contact with Lewis Hamilton, Mercedes AMG F1 W09

Picture by: Manuel Goria / Motorsport Photos

Sebastian Vettel’s Sachs Kurve crash at Hockenheim is usually credited because the turning level in 2018’s F1 title run-in; Vettel had left Silverstone with an eight-point lead, however this had quickly swung in Hamilton’s favour because the Mercedes driver assumed victory in Germany.

Vettel had received on the Belgian Grand Prix to shut the hole to 17 factors, however his first-lap contact with Hamilton at Monza (the “they’ve touched, Martin” conflict) and the Briton’s late go on chief Kimi Raikkonen to win the ultimate European race of the 12 months culminated in a 30-point distinction by the season’s two-thirds mark.

Unable to win any extra races that 12 months, Vettel’s problem had properly and actually fizzled out. Hamilton went from energy to energy and closed out the title with 5 wins within the final seven races, whereas Ferrari’s sole win within the flyaways got here courtesy of Raikkonen’s last F1 win at Austin.

2016: Hamilton holds a two-point lead over Rosberg earlier than swing

Nico Rosberg, Mercedes AMG F1, second place Lewis Hamilton, Mercedes AMG F1, Simon Cole, Mercedes AMG F1 Chief Track Engineer, third place Sebastian Vettel, Ferrari

Nico Rosberg, Mercedes AMG F1, second place Lewis Hamilton, Mercedes AMG F1, Simon Cole, Mercedes AMG F1 Chief Monitor Engineer, third place Sebastian Vettel, Ferrari

Picture by: Sutton Photos

After his German Grand Prix win, Hamilton was 19 factors away from Nico Rosberg of their last season as team-mates, however Rosberg’s back-to-back wins at Spa and Monza ensured that the hole was simply two factors forward of 2016’s last third.

In a season the place Rosberg threw all the things however the kitchen sink at making his title desires come true, he then recaptured the lead along with his win at Singapore. However Malaysia outlined the essential swing, as Hamilton’s engine infamously blew up on the forty third lap whereas main. Rosberg, in the meantime, received a 10-second penalty for clashing with Kimi Raikkonen of their battle for third, however he pulled out sufficient of a bonus to retain the place.

With 5 to go, the title lead had swollen to 23 factors, and Rosberg’s win at Japan (Hamilton ending third behind Verstappen) then made that 33 factors.

Hamilton received the ultimate 4 races, and Rosberg simply wanted to complete as runner-up in each – with provision to complete third as soon as. And, regardless of Hamilton’s greatest efforts to carry Rosberg up and feed him to Vettel and Verstappen behind on the Abu Dhabi finale, the German secured the title…then promptly retired forward of the FIA prize-giving ceremony.

2014: Rosberg has 22-point break over Hamilton, however title goes the opposite manner

Nico Rosberg, Mercedes AMG F1 W05 and Lewis Hamilton, Mercedes AMG F1 W05

Nico Rosberg, Mercedes AMG F1 W05 and Lewis Hamilton, Mercedes AMG F1 W05

Picture by: Sutton Photos

In contrast, 2014 was one thing of a reversal; with six to go after Monza, Rosberg was 22 factors up, though he’d seen his benefit trimmed down by Hamilton’s win on the Temple of Velocity.

Whereas many see Hamilton’s engine failure at Sepang in 2016 because the pivotal second in that 12 months’s championship, Rosberg’s electrical failure in Singapore was one of many key elements within the championship’s swing again in direction of Hamilton, as he left Marina Bay with a now-three-point deficit.

Hamilton then chalked up wins within the subsequent three rounds at Suzuka, Sochi, and Austin, rising the result in 24 factors over Rosberg, who received one again at Brazil to make sure it sat at 17 factors forward of the Abu Dhabi finale.

In a traditional season, this is able to require Rosberg to complete at the least second and hope Hamilton ensured some form of misfortune however, in a transfer by no means more likely to be repeated, the Abu Dhabi finale supplied double factors. Regardless, this proved to be irrelevant as Rosberg suffered an ERS failure within the first half of the Yas Marina race, however elected to trudge on till the tip regardless of being properly out of competition.

2012: Alonso 37 away from Hamilton, 39 forward of Vettel

Podium: Lewis Hamilton, McLaren, Sergio Perez, Sauber and Fernando Alonso, Ferrari

Podium: Lewis Hamilton, McLaren, Sergio Perez, Sauber and Fernando Alonso, Ferrari

Picture by: Sutton Photos

For the reason that present factors system was launched in 2010, Alonso’s 37-point lead has been the largest factors hole overturned at two-thirds distance (virtually, at the least; this was a 20-season race). This was over Monza winner Hamilton, as Vettel was fourth within the championship behind Raikkonen because the European season ended.

Vettel then moved as much as second along with his win in Singapore, as Hamilton retired with a gearbox high quality management problem (foam moulding was discovered left inside the casing), chopping the hole to 29 factors behind Alonso because the reigning champion emerged as the important thing second challenger.

Suzuka accelerated Vettel’s title credentials when Alonso tried to fend off Raikkonen at the beginning and ended up amassing a puncture after the 2 made contact, permitting Vettel to shut the door to simply 4 factors. The Crimson Bull driver then dominated in Korea and India; after the penultimate spherical of the 12 months in F1’s first go to to the Circuit of the Americas, Vettel was 13 factors clear.

For the Brazil finale, Vettel solely certified fourth whereas Alonso was solely eighth, however the German’s poor begin put him right down to seventh – which left him open for a conflict with Bruno Senna within the higher midfield. In a spectacular race, stuffed to the gunnels with drama, Alonso made his manner as much as second however wanted Vettel to complete eighth or decrease to make sure the title was his.

As a substitute, regardless of Vettel struggling a sluggish cease whereas pitting for inters, he was capable of dangle onto seventh to safe the factors he’d wanted as soon as the inter stops cycled out – and his go on Michael Schumacher earlier than the race-ending security automobile locked down his third championship.

2010: Hamilton three factors away from Webber, Vettel 31 factors behind in four-way title battle

Lewis Hamilton, McLaren MP4-25

Lewis Hamilton, McLaren MP4-25

Picture by: Charles Coates / Motorsport Photos

Probably the most fascinating info about 2010 is that the motive force main the championship at any given time didn’t win the next race. At 2010’s Belgian Grand Prix, Lewis Hamilton took victory and the title lead by simply three factors over Mark Webber, whereas Sebastian Vettel was an additional 28 factors again. And, with six races to go, Fernando Alonso was fifth with a 41-point deficit to Hamilton.

Naturally, Hamilton did not win subsequent day trip in Monza; Alonso did, to get inside 21 factors of latest title chief Webber. The Spaniard received subsequent day trip in Singapore too, slashing the hole to simply 11 factors as Vettel was fourth and simply 21 factors shy of the 2005 and 2006 champion.

Vettel then received in Japan to deliver him degree with Alonso on 206 factors, each 14 factors behind Webber. However the Australian’s crash with Nico Rosberg in Korea delivered important injury to his title foundations, and Alonso took victory on the Yeongam circuit to interrupt into an 11-point lead. In the meantime, Vettel additionally retired and was again right down to fourth within the standings, 25 factors away from Alonso with two races remaining.

To reduce the injury, Vettel received in Brazil, whereas Alonso completed third behind Webber; whereas Hamilton was fourth to stay an out of doors guess in a four-way title battle. And Vettel did his half, taking a clear and managed victory as Alonso and Webber tried to cowl one another off with early pitstops that did not actually go anyplace. Renault’s Vitaly Petrov then held the 2 up all through the race to keep up sixth, however confronted heavy scrutiny from the title contenders behind.

Vettel’s race engineer Guillaume Rocquelin issued warning – “you simply wait, sunshine” – after the victory, as Petrov continued to carry on from Alonso and Webber. When the Russian crossed the road to keep up his first top-six end in F1, locking Alonso and Webber into seventh and eighth, Vettel’s feelings had been allowed to move; he, certainly, was the Weltmeister.

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