2:01
: Hey everybody, welcome to my final chat of the 12 months
2:02
: 2024 was an superior 12 months of baseball, and I’m going to recollect it fairly fondly, so in case you have any 12 months in evaluation sort questions, ship them my means
2:03
: within the meantime, let’s reply some common questions
2:03
: ought to I recover from it and commerce Coby mayo for an SP like Stop or Castillo? Or hoard prospects and hope they work out and signal a lesser SP like Flaherty?
2:03
: What are we doing?! Can we not commerce extra from our massive league roster (Mountcastle, Heston, Ramon urias) and/or prospects for pitching? Is anybody apart from Jackson and basallo off limits? Who ought to we goal?
2:03
: Ah sure, “Right here’s Ramon Urias, give me the perfect pitcher you possibly can for him”
2:03
: sadly, that wouldn’t get too far
2:03
: I believe that the O’s are in an fascinating spot. The actual factor I need them to do is signal some gamers to extensions
2:04
: I appreciated their commerce for Burnes, for instance, and I wouldn’t hate seeing them replicate that, however one factor I really feel very positive about is that they shouldn’t do half measures
2:04
: Half of Adley’s staff management is gone. 1/3 of Gunnar’s. You’ve a uncommon alternative. The current issues
2:04
: If Shohei pitches most of a full season at an aceish degree, may he win Comeback Participant of the Yr the season after successful back-to-back unanimous MVPs? Appears very on-brand.
2:05
: I do know all of it is determined by worth, nevertheless it feels just like the Pink Sox ought to double down and get Burnes, no? Saved cash by buying and selling for Crochet, a number of elite place participant prospects on the cusp of the MLB. Burnes-Crochet 1-2 feels prefer it will get you fairly dang far in each the common and postseason.
2:05
: I believe that they’re in want of extra gamers
2:05
: pitcher? Bregman? Teo? I don’t have a brilliant sturdy tackle which choice they need to take
2:05
: however this isn’t an amazing staff as it’s
2:05
: Will the Yanks remorse not topping the Cubs provide for Tucker? Reportedly they balked at Gil and Lombardi.
2:06
: If that reporting is true, I believe that was an enormous error on their half
2:06
: they even have nice proof of how properly a commerce for a FA-to-be celebrity can work out
2:06
: Why is the SP market a lot hotter this 12 months than final, when Snell and Montgomery signed so late? Are groups prioritizing clear Sport 1/2 playoff starters, no matter worth or age? Whereas the pen market has been sluggish to develop. An fascinating shift from the current mantra to not overpay pitchers…
2:07
: Yeah, I’m stunned. I assume we’ll have to attend for another prime hitters to signal to see whether or not it’s the entire market being scorching or simply the pitchers who’ve signed to date
2:07
: In a vacuum, ought to the Mets (a) resign Pete, (b) signal Bregman and shift Vientos, or (c) handle the void through commerce (e.g., Arenado)?
2:08
: I believe I like B most of those choices
2:08
: nevertheless it relies upon what the marketplace for Arenado appears to be like like
2:09
: Hey Ben, simply needed to let you already know that you simply seem within the background proper across the 2:30 mark of the video clip on the prime of this text.
2:09
: Hey Davy! Spectacular spot
2:09
: I puzzled what sort of angle these cameras have been capturing, I assume now I do know
2:10
: I really feel like they have been completely positioned to cdatch the whole lot of the gang milling round
2:10
: Solely two defensive shift violations have been referred to as final season (each after supervisor challenges and each within the span of ~every week)–does that appear low?
2:10
: not likely… you possibly can simply have a look at the place you’re standing, which appears to make it so much tougher to by chance run afoul of
2:10
: Does anybody know the principles by which staff names reference a metropolis or state? May the As theoretically briefly rebrand because the Sacramento As?
2:10
: I imagine they might have, becuase they selected to simply be referred to as the athletics as an alternative of including at eam title
2:10
: a metropolis title, fairly
2:11
: I like the Stroll-Off function you all added, although I’m a little bit unhappy I got here one proportion level in need of platinum standing. Are you aware what number of days have been lined by it? I do know it’s in need of a full 12 months, and I simply needed to know what number of days I didn’t go to Fangraphs?
2:11
: I believe we minimize it off two Saturdays in the past
2:11
: Hey, Ben. Brent Rooker good for 50 HR’s in Sacramento? Completely satisfied holidays.
2:11
: that may be a LOT of residence runs
2:12
: greater than Statcast thinks he would have hit if he performed the entire season in Cincy final 12 months
2:12
: so I’m gonna say no. I don’t assume the park goes to be the perfect hitter’s park in baseball or something. Only a lot friendlier than the Coliseum
2:13
: Kyle Tucker: set-your-watch-by-him 5 battle all star, or going-forward 8 battle superstud?
2:13
: for me, the primary
2:13
: show the second earlier than I’m prepared to imagine it, you already know?
2:14
: Greatest christmas music?
2:14
: I’ve just a few contenders, I’ll give my spouse credit score for these as a result of I wasn’t an enormous Christmas music individual as a child
2:15
: Christmas Wrapping by the Waitresses, Merry Christmas by Elton John and Ed Sheeran, Fairytale of New York by the Pogues, and all the Sia Christmas album are my go tos
2:15
: Pink Sox don’t have a shortstop. Dbacks have two. Dbacks additionally want a primary baseman. Who says no to a Geraldo Perdomo for Tristian Casas commerce?
2:15
: by like, so much
2:16
: I believe Casas is simply higher along with having an additional 12 months of management
2:16
: Put up Kyle Tucker commerce: The Cubs outfield is LOADED. Do you assume Bellinger/Suzuki are most certainly to be moved?
2:17
: Sure I do. Final week, Seiya’s agent talked about that he was not desirous about being a full-time DH, and that he’d particularly appeared to keep away from that when he signed his free company contract
2:17
: I believe that places them in an enormous bind, tbh
2:18
: there’s simply nowhere for him to play. I believe that they’re going to finish up buying and selling him, in all probability for not that a lot as a result of it’s an ungainly marketplace for nook OF bats with some good free brokers accessible for contending groups nonetheless
2:18
: I’d make a transfer to get Kyle Tucker each time nonetheless, however they undoubtedly have to make some extra strikes given present roster development
2:19
: as an angels fan ive been dreading a nolan areando commerce. is there a commerce you assume could possibly be win-win? cuz i solely see catastrophe brewing
2:19
: no. Arenado to the Angels solely is smart as a result of he’s from there
2:20
: I like that he talked about how a lot he needed to win, then gave a listing of groups that had a bunch of groups that eclipsed .500 and have legit WS aspirations
2:20
: after which the Angels
2:20
: like, you possibly can simply say you want the place you’re from, that’s okay too
2:20
: Everyone knows the Pirates aren’t gonna provide sufficient {dollars} for teoscar/santander, the primary cleanup model nook OFs in FA. Aav in all probability 20-30. Assuming they might afford a AAV nearer to 10-20, who’re some commerce targets who make sense?
2:20
: what about Seiya???
2:20
: What are your ideas on the Horwitz deal from the pirates POV? Strong sufficient leadoff hitter at 1b for just a few years?
2:21
: that is the sort of commerce you make when you already know you’re not going to spend any actual cash in FA, for my part
2:21
: he’s a superbly cheap blah bat, if he finally ends up as a rotational participant that’s advantageous
2:21
: for those who’re relying on him as certainly one of your finest hitters, you probably did one thing unsuitable
2:21
: Even with Soto, the Mets nonetheless want pitching. They’ve obtained Senga and a bunch of query marks. Is that this staff actually a contender with out additional additions?
2:21
: I imply…. why would we count on no additional additions
2:22
: It’s December 16 and 17 of the highest 50 free brokers have signed
2:22
: ‘is that this staff actually a contender’ yeah the staff that simply made the NLCS, signed Juan Soto, and nonetheless has a payroll practically 100 million decrease than final 12 months’s is a contender
2:23
: WRT your O’s Adley window response…aren’t the Pirates in an analogous spot with Skenes’ window only a few years earlier? Couldn’t the 2 groups match up properly on say a (certainly one of) Jared Jones/Mitch Keller for Coby Mayo kind of deal together with different items to make it work?
2:23
: I don’t actually perceive why the Pirates would do that
2:23
: I imply, except the O’s simply bowled them over with worth. However the O’s don’t try this. they particularly attempt to win each commerce
2:23
: Within the case of Bellinger, can money be conditionally added to the deal based mostly on decide in years?
2:24
: It might. The Arenado-to-the-Playing cards deal had the Rockies kicking in a distinct amount of money based mostly on whether or not he exercised his decide out. Equally, the Mets had some conditional money on Verlander’s commerce to the Astros
2:24
: What was probably the most impactful commerce of 2024?
2:24
: The preseason Soto commerce
2:24
: not solely did it spearhead the Yankees, nevertheless it gave the Padres a head begin on rebuilding their rotation, and the 2 mixed had enormous impacts in each leagues
2:25
: What was probably the most shocking second of 2024 for you? Most shocking storyline?
2:25
: Shohei going 50/50 shocked me. I didn’t even take into account him a contender for it
2:25
: I believe that probably the most shocking storyline for me was Skenes turning into the perfect pitcher in baseball (ish)
2:25
: I used to be too low on him heading into the 12 months
2:25
: The information that the Astros are in on the Arenado sweepstakes (if that’s what we’re calling them I assume) was not shocking, however the timing appeared off with the shifting Tucker instantly earlier than it got here out. Any concepts on a possible return for him can be when the Cardinals transfer him?
2:26
: Yeah…. actually I may completely see this, the Astros appear to be going full thrift mode out of nowhere
2:26
: and possibly they will get the Cardinals to eat a bunch of cash, kick in some prospects, and try this
2:26
: one factor I’m interested by is whether or not they assume Paredes can play third
2:27
: I believe he can, and if he’s na common defender on the market, I don’t fairly perceive the impetus to maneuver a bunch of items to get Arenado
2:27
: but when they assume he’s higher fitted to first base, then I prefer it extra
2:27
: Did you get a adequate (literal) have a look at Andres Chaparro in his cup of espresso final season to audibly giggle on the “If Chaparro can play third base” qualifier in at the moment’s ZIPS Nationals write up?
2:27
: I watched a whole lot of Nats video games within the second half of the 12 months
2:28
: What do you suppose is the first cause for the Playing cards to maneuver Arenado this offseason? Wage reduction? Honor his want for a successful staff? There’s an opportunity Arenado is value extra subsequent offseason, as his common wage is decrease and possibly (?) his offense improves in 2025.
2:28
: Yeah, wage reduction and since he requested to be traded
2:28
: The mariners appear to have put it on the market that they might commerce Luis Castillo for actual impression, seemingly at 3B or 2B. Do you assume that commerce really exists? It’s arduous to examine prying guys like Westburg or Mayo (who may not even be 3B) from Os or Vientos from the Mets
2:28
: Nah, I don’t see it occurring
2:28
: The Mariners may at all times fully change their methods, nevertheless it’s clear that they worth pitching EXTREMELY extremely
2:29
: so positive, they might commerce Castillo for actual impression
2:29
: however they could assume actual impression is like, Brice Turang + Joey Ortiz
2:29
: Which staff has the perfect bandwagoners to haters ratio going into 2025?
2:29
: the Padres, possibly?
2:29
: it’s query
2:30
: I’d prefer to push again on the Suzuki factor… I believe he’s the 2nd finest hitter on the staff and might actually break up time with Tucker in proper subject. As a cubs fan I’d take so much in return like strong third baseman or a prime 2 starter on the rotation
2:30
: okay, what if he tells you “I don’t need to play DH, I’m requesting a commerce if I’m not going to be an outfielder”
2:30
: I believe Seiya is nice, I’m persistently making dumb predictions about how good he’ll be
2:30
: however I don’t know, they’re like a fantasy staff that by chance ended up with 5 first basemen
2:30
: you possibly can’t simply go eh, it’ll work
2:31
: I’d desire to have all the good gamers on my staff. however I dunno, are you gonna ask Tucker to DH? Bench Ian Happ?
2:31
: Is it tough to maneuver a participant like vientos from third to first?
2:31
: I don’t imagine so, no
2:31
: there aren’t a whole lot of examples of men NOT with the ability to adapt to first
2:31
: Why the curiosity in Jesus Luzardo? He’s always injured.
2:32
: so, I’m with you
2:32
: I simply don’t see it. However lots of people do
2:32
: he has electrical stuff and he’s had some good outcomes when he can keep wholesome, which is certainly sometimes
2:32
: Do you assume Bergman is starting to say no? I’m not bought on him for the Mets in the event that they go that means?
2:32
: Promote me on the Yankees needing to crawl to Bregman and pay celebrity cash for a man who isn’t producing like a celebrity
2:32
: alright, I assume the pitch is that this
2:33
: Bregman’s final three years: 5.4 WAR, 4.5 WAR, 4.1 WAR
2:33
: Yankees who’ve hit 4.1 WAR in any of the final three years:
2:33
: Aaron Decide (3x), Juan Soto
2:34
: It is not sensible to maintain Helsley, sure?
2:34
: Not NO sense, however let me put it this fashion: I’d settle for 90 cents on the greenback to commerce him
2:35
: it’s not out of the query that they’d get a greater return by ready for the deadline, and that’s fascinating to me
2:35
: however they appear severe sufficient about retooling that protecting a more in-depth, and a dominant one, doesn’t actually monitor with what I’d be making an attempt to do
2:35
: An actual query – Are you an even bigger believer in Herz, Parker, Irvin, or not one of the above being a member of the following contending Nats rotation? 2026… please? I lean Herz b/c of the bat lacking, regardless that it is available in a bizarre means (I believe he throws one fastball at… 5 totally different velocities?)
2:36
: I believe it’s Herz? It’s him or Parker for me
2:36
: I believe the Rays may have enormous quantity of rain delays this 12 months which can put an additional pressure on all their pitchers (and sure make them underperform. Do you agree?
2:36
: I don’t understand how precisely they’re gonna deal with it, however they handle to play FSL video games with out blowing individuals’s arms out
2:36
: I believe they’ll in all probability have the ability to determine it out, although I do agree that on the margin it gained’t be very best
2:37
: Do you assume Milwaukee may have gotten a greater bundle for Williams? A deal together with a prime 100 prospect and different items?
2:37
: I believe that the deal they obtained is RIGHT according to what they want
2:37
: they struggled mightily within the rotation final 12 months they usually simply can not afford to signal individuals given their funds constraints
2:37
: they’re making an attempt to win yearly
2:37
: they appear to have a window proper now, too: the Cardinals are taking a step again and the opposite groups haven’t fairly gotten issues collectively but
2:38
: “oh this man is a prime 100 prospect” might be not as interesting to them as a complementary and fairly good prospect (Durbin) plus a rotation starter for this 12 months
2:38
: I like the best way you characterised the Devin Williams commerce, with the Brewers rotating the wheel of efficient pitchers. However in some unspecified time in the future, for those who simply preserve staying on the similar degree, you’ll at all times get the identical outcomes. Sooner or later, don’t they need to go all-in (or not less than be additive, fairly than making an attempt to take care of established order)?
2:39
: Philosophical query, actually
2:39
: Would you fairly get a ton of so-so bites on the apple, or go extra boom-bust?
2:39
: I keep in mind considering, when the Stearns period began, that his plan of not likely bottoming out and making an attempt to compete straight away was novel and enjoyable
2:39
: I believe this is perhaps a grass is at all times greener scenario right here. I’m an enormous fan of taking photographs when you possibly can, and I fully agree that the Brewers refuse to try this
2:40
: however I undoubtedly perceive their perspective
2:40
: they actually need to be aggressive and produce the followers out yearly
2:40
: Thanks for all of the enjoyable in chat and on the web site this 12 months. 5 issues was my favourite learn each week. Z Lowe can be proud
2:40
: Thanks very a lot
2:41
: 5 issues may be very arduous to jot down, simply because the thought era a part of it takes a really very long time and the giffing isn’t automated, nevertheless it’s additionally my favourite factor to jot down, so it really works out
2:41
: What are you wanting ahead to most, personally, in 2025?
2:42
: I’m gonna restrict this to baseball
2:43
: as a result of if not, it’s my journey to Scandinavia that I’m planning
2:43
: however: I’m excited to see what Ohtani does again on the mound
2:43
: and I’m very excited to see a Chapman/Adames infield in individual often
2:43
: Any predictions for DeGrom this 12 months? I preserve seeing stuff like he’s nonetheless a prime 7 or 8 pitcher in baseball.
2:44
: I believe he’ll nonetheless be the perfect pitcher in baseball on a price foundation
2:44
: I actually don’t know find out how to handicap his well being
2:44
: I’m going to be very excited to look at, although
2:44
: I used to be apprehensive that might be your reply, that Bregman’s “down years” are nonetheless higher than anyone on the staff not named Decide. I simply fear they’ll need to pay him like a celebrity and it’ll forestall them from going after Tucker in free company as a result of “Oops, we spent all our cash!” pretend austerity nonsense.
2:44
: yeah I imply, that’s all properly and good, however they can’t run the staff again as is imo
2:44
: Decide is nice RIGHT NOW
2:44
: give him some assist
2:45
: Do you assume subsequent low season’s free agent market is perhaps cooler with the CBA being only one 12 months from carried out, or is there no causation there?
2:45
: I believe it is determined by how the inner conversations are going, and in addition very importantly on how the television deal fallout is that time
2:45
: Tucker put up a 180RC+ final 12 months with good fielding and baserunning. His fluke shin damage apart, is he proper up there with Soto as top-of-the-line gamers in the intervening time?
2:45
: properly a technique of it’s simply projections. He has a 5.1 WAR projection over 672 PA. Soto is at 6.8 WAR in 686
2:46
: Tucker’s WAR projection is fifteenth in baseball, in order that’s undoubtedly star degree
2:46
: And for those who aren’t as bullish on the assorted defensive worth changes propping individuals up, you possibly can dock Cal Raleigh, Michael Harris, and William Contreras out of that listing and get him to twelfth
2:47
: however let’s put it this fashion: in an abbreviated season, Tucker put up the perfect numbers of his profession, by 30+ factors of wRC+, and projection methods assume that in all probability he’s not abruptly that good on a go-forward foundation
2:48
: in a full season, Soto put up the perfect full season of his profession (not so good as 2020 on a price foundation), however by meaningfully much less
2:48
: and our projection methods assume he’ll be not too removed from the hitter he’s been most of his profession, although they appear to love his plate discipline-driven producdtion a little bit extra on a go-forward foundation
2:49
: both means, each are nice. However the truth that SOto has 4 seasons higher than Tucker’s finest season, and is youthful, in all probability implies that Soto is best
2:49
: With a final place end, and one of many worst farm methods, ought to the Jays begin a hearth sale and attempt to get some worth for his or her prime property?
2:50
: If Vlad isn’t desirous about an extension, then possibly
2:50
: if he’s: you don’t get Vlads fairly often, possibly pay him and preserve making an attempt to win
2:50
: how can the cubs ‘be going all in’ per the post-Tucker commerce reporting and but nonetheless deal with the CBT like a wage cap? It’s like we’re rooting for the brewers besides, ya know, with out the division titles.
2:50
: No, the Brewers are means higher at maximizing their roster
2:51
: however yeah, kinda wild imo
2:51
: Re: the what are they going to do, ask Tucker to DH/Happ to take a seat often, remark – I assume Tucker being an upcoming FA is a wrinkle in what I’m about to say, however are we… overrating the human factor there? Like, they’re handsomely paid… the Cubs ought to in all probability have the ability to ask them EXACTLY that lol. I really feel like we additionally simply discovered from the Reds that there’s no such factor as an excessive amount of depth/simply let these items work themselves out as a result of they seemingly will
2:51
: okay so, you possibly can at all times strive that
2:51
: one wrinkle is the funds factor
2:51
: and clearly the Reds weren’t in love with their experiment b/c they went forward and traded India as quickly as they didn’t have urgent damage points
2:52
: however the human factor issues! additionally they’re making an attempt arduous to re-sign Tucker and in addition presumably to seek out some contract extensions for younger and good gamers
2:52
: they usually’d inevitably stunt PCA’s progress by doing this
2:52
: one place the place the Reds differed is that it was fairly apparent who wanted probably the most enjoying time (Elly, McLain)
2:52
: and people man shappened to be the younger gamers
2:53
: I believe what I meant with the suzuki take was that Happ, PCA will preserve their jobs with Bellinger being traded.
2:53
: so in the event that they commerce Bellinger, I assume issues get a little bit simpler
2:53
: however that’s nonetheless certainly one of Seiya, Happ, or Tucker DH’ing a ton
2:53
: Bellinger to the Yankees, possibly?
2:54
: holy cow Cubbies. In the event that they land Luzardo, do you assume they personal the NLC? How would tank them towards all the NL if they’ve Luzardo?
2:54
: Possibly I’m only a dummy, however touchdown Luzardo wouldn’t transfer the needle a lot for me in any respect
2:55
: I’m not an enormous MIchael Busch believer, and for no matter cause I can’t speak myself into Hoerner regardless that I believe the info disagrees with me
2:55
: however I do assume they’re co-favorites within the NLC with the Brewers
2:56
: Pete Alonso doesn’t have a lot of a market does he simply return to the Mets on a Bellinger sort deal?
2:56
: Yeah, I believe that’s within the playing cards, though “doesn’t have a lot of a market” is fairly theoretical at this level
2:56
: Is Kerry Carpenter nearer to a future star or full time platoon participant?
2:56
: i believe he’s nearer to a future star
2:56
: I don’t assume he *IS* one, essentially
2:57
: however for those who hit that properly towards righties, I’m gonna allow you to bat towards lefties too
2:57
: Do you assume free agent market “greenback per WAR” calculations miss the purpose? I get how there’s a market common, however every staff’s personal {dollars}/WAR tolerance would appear to rely upon their funds + capacity to develop (low cost) expertise internally by way of the minors
2:59
: I really wrote about this just a few years in the past
2:59
: Giants one way or the other solely at $167M for subsequent 12 months. They gotta get Burnes and get again within the playoffs, no?
2:59
: I believe that they need to completely be making an attempt to make the playoffs
3:00
: I believe that signing Burnes makes a whole lot of sense, too
3:00
: and never simply selfishly b/c I need to watch him, although additionally that
3:00
: Ginny Searle had a fairly good take at BP concerning the Seiya scenario. If Bellinger’s moved, between Tucker backing up CF on off days for PCA, Tucker and Happ DHing now and again, and inevitable accidents, Seiya can in all probability get 600ish innings within the OF at the same time as a main DH. It simply is determined by what number of innings he must be pleased.
3:00
: Ginny’s stuff is nice, and I suppose that is smart if they will commerce Bellinger
3:01
: in principle, Bellinger’s market might be not enormous
3:01
: provided that he selected to remain on a participant choice
3:01
: however possibly they will pay some down (hahahahha Cubs followers, enjoyable joke about your staff being cost-insensitive) or simply let him go for nothing?
3:01
: Additionally $/battle appears totally different for hitters and pitchers. Having one quantity doesn’t replicate that imo.
3:02
: I’ve carried out some checking of this prior to now, and the true divide is relievers vs. different
3:02
: beginning pitchers and hitters really are available fairly shut within the years I’ve checked
3:03
: On the subject of replicating the Burnes commerce, may the O’s get Stop or Valdez with a bundle like Kjerstad, Suarez and a draft decide or 45 FV prospect? Clearly Suarez isn’t as enticing as DL Corridor however he’s low cost rotation depth for a staff giving up a starter and Kjerstad appears like the fitting degree of headliner for rental?
3:03
: I believe they might, that seems like an inexpensive return
3:03
: I believe the Padres would in all probability try this in the event that they like Kjerstad
3:03
: Is Verdugo washed already? The place does he go from right here?
3:03
: yeah, washed imo
3:04
: Your ideas on Julio Rodriguez? He’s solely 23 yrs outdated however doesn’t appear to be a stud OF. Nonetheless room for enchancment?
3:04
: I believe we’re seeing various things wanting on the similar man
3:04
: He appears to be like like a stud OF to me
3:04
: Will EV90 ever be added to FG?
3:05
: it’s on our listing of stuff, we de-prioritized it to focus extra on getting the assorted stuff metrics onto the positioning in helpful methods however I’ll carry it up once more in some unspecified time in the future b/c I actually prefer it as a stat
3:05
: If I’m making a visit to AZ for Spring Coaching, are there sure ballparks I ought to prioritize visiting?
3:05
: I’m not probably the most educated, Eric is best, however: I like Salt River FIelds
3:05
: I noticed Acuna hit a homer in AFL there as soon as, it was superior
3:05
: noticed Nicky Lopez hit a homer too, it was a a lot much less spectacular homer
3:06
: Do you assume $/WAR equals out between Def WAR and Off WAR as a result of possibly I’m unsuitable however I’d undoubtedly pay extra for Off WAR then Def WAR
3:06
: Yeah, this I agree with
3:06
: I believe that the market, fairly moderately, feels offensive battle is extra secure
3:06
: What’s your tackle Hayden Birdsong? Giants of us appear to assume he’s obtained one other gear. Prospect hounds don’t appear so sanguine. What would you count on from the child over the following couple years?
3:07
: I obtained some free tickets to a Giants sport final 12 months by way of a good friend and who was sitting in entrance of us? Birdsong’s total household, all sporting Birdsong jerseys
3:07
: both that or only a ton of followers who all went REALLY out of their option to get a customized jersey of a rookie making his first begin
3:09
: I believe that I’d be prepared to take a position on him having one other gear, it’s removed from a given and I perceive why he wasn’t an enormous, can’t miss prospect however he feels to me like a type of guys that might abruptly be a lot better if they might simply add a little bit command
3:09
: it’s no provided that it’ll occur, however I like a number of of his pitches and his aggression. I simply assume the ball doesn’t go the place he desires typically sufficient for all of it to work but
3:09
: Is it protected to imagine that the Cubs aren’t even half means by way of their massive strikes?
3:09
: when it comes to variety of trades, possibly
3:09
: when it comes to complete impression, Tucker goes to be greater than half of the full strikes, so I’d say they’re greater than half by way of
3:10
: Over/beneath Angels playoff over the following ten years: 0.5
3:10
: What do you consider the Woo rumors? The provide is outwardly Woo for Casas, Luis Guerrero, and Allan Castro
3:11
: I don’t have an amazing cause for this, however I’ve been a little bit decrease than consensus on Woo
3:11
: I don’t have a powerful view on Guerrero or Castro, both
3:11
: so I’d say I’m in all probability the unsuitable individual to ask on this one… however I like Casas, and assume that he’s an inexpensive headliner for younger pitching if the throw-ins are fascinating to the staff buying and selling a pitcher
3:12
: The Pink Sox gained 81 video games final 12 months and simply added a key a part of the equation. I see them as contenders if Anthony or Campbell flip into Jackson Merrill, and do you see them getting something out of Giolito?
3:12
: yeah, I believe they’re contenders for positive, partiuclarly after they add yet another hitter, which I believe they’ll do
3:14
: actually arduous to know with Giolito
3:14
: you must assume zero-ish given the damage timeline, however with enormous error bars
3:14
: Learn a rumor that Padres have been purchasing Bogaerts. I’m guessing he would approve a commerce again to Boston. Would a framework work round Bogaerts and stop for story, Casas and yoshida?
3:14
: I have to be lacking one thing
3:14
: why would the Padres do htis?
3:16
: they’re buying and selling the perfect participant within the deal (Stop) and never even saving a lot cash
3:16
: paying MORE cash within the quick time period
3:16
: Story is fairly clearly worse than Bogaerts for 2025
3:16
: Yoshida is at finest a query mark
3:17
: this commerce would make the Padres so much worse within the quick time period, it’d create an ungainly positional logjam at first/DH, and it might contain buying and selling a pitcher they’re hoping will get them prospect or pivot piece to one way or the other make shortstop worse?
3:18
: You’d count on a few jersey numbers to be retired in case your staff makes 7 straight ALCS and wins two World Collection. After this newest run, anybody apart from Altuve and probably Yordan get theirs retired by the Astros?
3:18
: like undoubtedly him
3:19
: possibly Verlander, he felt like a key a part of these runs
3:19
: I’ve been massive on Josh Naylor to the Giants, possibly for a few mid degree SP prospects. Does this make sense to you?
3:19
: It doesn’t actually, for 2 causes. One, I’m simply not a Naylor believer. This may occasionally or will not be rational
3:20
: two, I believe LaMonte Wade does a whole lot of what he does, and arguably higher
3:20
: however at worst, at an analogous degree
3:21
: I believe that the Giants can be higher served to deal with their rotation or maybe attempt to get one other star outfielder to pair with Ramos flanking JHL in heart
3:22
: and provided that the farm isn’t wildly deep, buying and selling significant items for a 1b/DH feels prefer it’s a stretch
3:22
: How do you assume groups course of the not-trading-in-the-division standard knowledge? Tie-breaker? Demand extra worth? Simply don’t take into account it? Would like to see Suzuki in Cincinnati.
3:22
: I believe it’s a tiebreaker, or near it
3:23
: I may see that commerce figuring out possibly, it actually is determined by what the Cubs need to do. I believe that shifting Bellinger would occur first most certainly
3:23
: Few issues have shocked me greater than the value of mediocre pitching this low season. I assumed that the Giolito deal final winter couldn’t be topped however $67 million for Severino has challenged it and that is with starters getting used principally as not far more than openers. It’s loopy.
3:23
: Severino in all probability obtained an A’s enhance, however even together with him, I’m with you
3:23
: ought to/will the tigers make a transfer to consolidate expertise right into a 3-win participant? given the abundance of younger function gamers and lack of above-average regulars (esp within the infield), and in addition the cash to spend on a FA in the event that they vacate a beginning roster spot, this appears like a should in the event that they’re severe about competing
3:24
: they need to have gone nuts making an attempt to get Kyle Tucker, and doubtless they did
3:24
: ‘consolidate expertise right into a 3-win participant’ is an admirable aim
3:24
: possibly it’s Bo Bichette?
3:25
: however in wanting by way of our projections, I’m making an attempt to assume which of those guys are on the block, and eh…. Bichette, possibly Yandy Diaz who doesn’t actually really feel like a star, and nobody else who appears more likely to be on the commerce block
3:26
: so sure, I believe that they need to put money into having extra stars on their staff, significantly through commerce
3:26
: I simply assume that may be a powerful needle to string
3:26
: on that notice: time to go decide up some lunch
3:26
: and hten again to digging by way of outdated prospect lists for a enjoyable article I’m engaged on
3:26
: have an exquisite week, everybody, and an exquisite vacation season
Ben is a author at FanGraphs. He might be discovered on Twitter @_Ben_Clemens.
