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Arsenal were NEVER in the title ‘race’ – before OR after Bukayo Saka’s injury – Liverpool FC

May 1, 2025
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It was described as a two-horse race for the Premier League title, however Arsenal by no means actually got here near Liverpool within the battle for the trophy.

Nobody predicted Arne Slot‘s aspect to win the title in his first season at Anfield, however the narrative shortly turned to it being a weak league as soon as the Reds had constructed up a head of steam.

Typical, proper?

Arsenal had been the ‘closest’ contenders all through the season, however regardless of all of the speak from north London, they solely ever got here inside 4 factors from matchday eight, again in mid-October.

 

How shut had been Arsenal in actuality?

Liverpool formally clinched the title after 34 video games, having sat on the prime of the desk since November 2 because of a 26-game unbeaten run.

Slot’s aspect dropped 20 factors earlier than being topped champions whereas the Gunners dropped a mammoth 35, a tally that isn’t conducive to a title battle as we properly know.

And as you’ll be able to see from the graph above, Arsenal had been solely above Liverpool within the desk on matchday 4 after the Reds misplaced to Nottingham Forest at Anfield. Their lead was a single level.

From that time on, Liverpool began to open up a lead on the Gunners that they by no means got here near chasing down, with the margin steadily rising from one level, to 4, seven, 9, 10, 12, 13 and now 15.

From matchday 10, Liverpool by no means relinquished their place on the prime – and, in actual fact, when the season concludes Slot’s males could have occupied first place for 32 out of the 38 matchdays.

Mikel Arteta declared he would surrender on the title race “over my useless physique” in mid-February, however that remark preceded a run of 14 factors from a doable 24, whereas the Reds took 18 from 21.

And whereas Arteta and the Arsenal followers could level to their accidents, specifically Bukayo Saka’s long-term hamstring blow, as the principle issue of their demise, it’s clear the race was by no means on to start with.

The lead solely grew and in actuality Arteta’s males by no means mustered a constant title problem to Slot’s aspect, who defied expectations to ship the membership’s twentieth league title.

In the end, there was by no means really a title race as Liverpool set requirements that the Gunners couldn’t match of their fifth full season underneath Arteta.

 

Debunking ‘weak’ league narrative

We don’t all the time should take heed to the nonsense others spout when Liverpool have gained something of that means, however we are able to’t let the ‘weak’ narrative slide.

I not too long ago analysed the league’s competitiveness since its formation utilizing the C5 index of aggressive stability, which sees a superbly aggressive league take a price of 100 – thus because the index rises the aggressive stability decreases.

• READ MORE: LFC title tenth MOST aggressive Premier League season since 2000

My findings had been that the least aggressive season on file is 2017/18, when Metropolis gained with 100 factors, whereas probably the most aggressive stays the Premier League‘s first season in 1992/93.

As for the present marketing campaign, after 33 video games it ranked because the Seventeenth-most aggressive marketing campaign within the competitors’s historical past and the tenth best since 2000 – hardly ‘weak’ now, is it?

So not solely did Liverpool guarantee Arsenal by no means bought a sniff, they did so towards competitors who had been something however weak.



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Tags: ArsenalBukayoinjuryLiverpoolraceSakastitle
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