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RosterResource Chat – 3/14/25

March 16, 2025
in Baseball
Reading Time: 22 mins read
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2:02

Jason Martinez: Welcome to the RosterResource Stay Chat! That is the final one earlier than official MLB video games are performed and second-to-last earlier than official Opening Day.

Nonetheless loads of intriguing roster battles. Try our MLB Opening Day Tracker to see which gamers are nonetheless left in camp. Finest approach is to click on on the “Not On Projected Roster/Nonetheless In Camp” drop-down … https://www.fangraphs.com/roster-resource/opening-day-tracker/padres?s…

Right here we go …

2:02

Zach: Is Robert Hassell III going to have an actual function on the Nats this yr?

2:04

Avatar Jon Becker: Possibly after the Commerce Deadline in the event that they’re out of competition and transfer Bell, or if Bell simply isn’t hitting sufficient, although they might additionally transfer Younger to a bench/defensive substitute/pinch runner function if Hassell forces issues. However he’s coming off a extremely unhealthy yr they usually’re going to want to see greater than an incredible Spring Coaching in a small pattern.

2:04

Buff: Does Brett Baty seize the Mets’ 2b job and run with it?

2:06

Avatar Jason Martinez: That was my thought as quickly because the damage was reported and nonetheless my projection … https://www.fangraphs.com/roster-resource/depth-charts/mets

Baty is having an incredible camp. He ought to be sufficient at 2B. Acuña has not completed a lot this spring and he additionally didn’t actually hit a lot within the minors final yr. Individuals simply keep in mind how impactful he was in his quick stint and assume he’s going to be the 2B now. That doesn’t imply the Mets aren’t pondering the identical factor. Simply looks like Baty has earned the job (vs RHP).

2:06

Snoo: What do you make of the SS enjoying time state of affairs in Detroit. Baez has really had a stronger spring than Trey Sweeney, so do you assume possibly he will get the primary crack on the gig (exhausting to imagine he’s nonetheless solely 32) and will get greater than 400 PA?

2:07

Avatar Jon Becker: I feel it’ll be Sweeney’s job every single day, at the least towards righties. It’s potential, although, that Báez really begins at 3B after enjoying there for the primary time shortly a day or two in the past. Jung hasn’t appeared good and thy may need to give him extra AAA time.

2:08

Cromulent: What wouldn’t it take for Shane Smith to interrupt into the ChiSox rotation?

2:10

Avatar Jason Martinez: He’s most likely earned it. However I feel he threw lower than 100 IP final season and will probably be restricted. If he begins within the rotation, he’s not going to complete there. Simpler to do you probably have him pitching a number of innings out of the bullpen. Bryse Wilson must also be sufficient because the No. 5 SP for a month after which he can transfer right into a multi-inning bullpen function. That’s how I feel it is going to go. However Smith is forcing their hand.

2:10

Straightforward E: It looks like we’re on the cusp on a significant breakout for Gavin Williams (well being pending). Do you agree?

2:11

Avatar Jon Becker: I don’t prefer to learn an excessive amount of into Spring Coaching efficiency, however he’s additionally at all times had such good things and simply didn’t have the efficiency to match final yr. Not a stretch in any respect to say he might be their finest starter this yr even when Bibee remains to be actually good.

2:12

POTATO_CANNON: Amador to get an even bigger callup this yr, and is it totally predicated on a Thairo Bounceback?

2:13

Avatar Jason Martinez: Looks as if they’re all in on Thairo in the intervening time. They’ve even anointed him as their No. 5 batter within the lineup. Amador wasn’t prepared final yr and I feel the plan is for him to get a full season in AAA. In fact, if he’s hitting and Thairo shouldn’t be, issues might change.

2:13

wheelhouse: simply how unhealthy is the yankees’ pitching depth after accidents to Cole and Gil? unhealthy sufficient to view this as an inevitable hole yr of their closing window?

2:14

Avatar Jon Becker: It’s fairly tough past the highest 5 choices with Hampton out for the yr too. However I’m at all times hesitant to say the Yankees have a closing window. They’re definitely worse now than they had been after they ended the season, although.

2:15

Schlittlerature: What number of PA do you see Hunter Goodman getting given his robust spring and that additionally it’s the Rockies?  I’m skeptical Bryant, Beck and a few of their different projected beginning choices final lengthy, and I hope HG hits his approach into extra PT

2:15

Zach: What number of at bats ought to we count on for Jacob Stallings?

2:17

Avatar Jason Martinez: I’ve Goodman with over 300 PA as a C/1B/OF/DH. With Romo formally optioned, he can even get an opportunity to be the backup catcher. Might be a bit tougher to show himself with the bat since he has much more on his plate due to catching duties. However there’s an excellent probability he can at the least stick in a David Fry function and possibly much more if Bryant can’t keep wholesome or Toglia, Beck, and many others. aren’t productive.

I’ve Stallings getting 50% of the begins as of now.

2:18

clydethedog: Does Baldwin have an actual probability to make opening day roster?

2:19

Avatar Jon Becker: Assuming this implies Drake Baldwin, completely, we’ve got him as their beginning catcher proper now. Sale has favored working with him and that issues much more than the offense since his keep might be fairly momentary.

2:19

Visitor: Hey Jason, Al Riccobono right here. I do know that Kim shouldn’t be touring with the Dodgers to Japan, however are you assured that he’s the every single day second baseman after they get again on the finish of the month? That being mentioned is Edmond extra acceptable within the outfield long-term than listed at second base as he will probably be for the primary two video games?

2:21

Avatar Jason Martinez: Hello Al. Kim was optioned to AAA so the plan is to let him get snug down there for at the least a number of weeks earlier than they need to decide. Presumably, this opens up CF for James Outman or Andy Pages, which suggests Tommy Edman will play a whole lot of 2B early within the season.

2:21

drplantwrench: im beginning to lose hope about my angels already… are you able to guys spin up some hope to get me by means of spring coaching?

2:22

Avatar Jon Becker: Mike Trout seems wholesome and like himself, Schanuel’s engaged on bat pace and energy to all fields, Ben Joyce threw 104 yesterday! I’m not anticipating them to get to .500 however I feel they’ll be higher than final yr.

2:22

Robert: Drew Avans has come out of nowhere Why do u like him over the competitors?

2:24

Avatar Jason Martinez: For that closing bench spot, I’m simply going with the man who’s having the most effective camp and that’s Avans. I’ve had Esteury Ruiz there as a result of even when he doesn’t play a lot, he offers them some blazing pace off the bench. However he can’t hit in any respect and the A’s most likely need him engaged on that essential ability in AAA. Max Schuemann additionally has an excellent probability due to his defensive versatility.

2:25

POTATO_CANNON: Is Colson up in Might and this ship down simply an excuse, or are they actually dropping curiosity in him being an enormous a part of 2025?

2:26

Avatar Jon Becker: I feel he’ll be up quickly, and Might may even be pessimistic. Don’t assume it’s an excuse since they’ll get PPI if he’s up throughout the first two weeks of the season and wins ROY. He was slowed with again tightness for about ten days they usually simply felt he ran out of time, although it’s not like they’re actually teeming with choices at SS, so I used to be stunned to see him despatched down so quickly.

2:27

Doc Estes: Mets bullpen behind Diaz…some say Stanek is the subsequent proper hander, Nearer depth chart reveals Butto.  What’s the argument for Butto?

2:29

Avatar Jason Martinez: I really moved AJ Minter again to the SU8 function now that he seems to be on observe for Opening Day. I might guess {that a} nearer committee is probably going if Diaz had been to get harm. And that’s the “many good choices” nearer committee versus “nearer committee as a result of there are not any good choices”. Stanek, Butto, Minter, Garrett are all able to closing out video games. And if no matter Kranick is doing this spring carries over, you may also put him within the combine. However who’s the “subsequent in line” change from week to week with regard to who would get the primary save probability.

2:29

TD: What do you consider the Padres LF/DH choices? Heyward seems washed, do you see them dropping him earlier than opening day?

2:31

Avatar Jon Becker: Not inconceivable to assume they’d dump Heyward with Gavin Sheets hitting so nicely, but it surely’s additionally Spring Coaching, and it’s not an incredible look to future free brokers to offer a man a assured deal after which reduce him. Nearly everybody on the crew will get PA at DH, however most likely primarily Arraez, Joe, Iglesias (assuming he makes the crew, which he’ll).

2:31

Visitor: Has something in Spring Coaching shed extra mild on the Heim/Higashioka cut up in enjoying time?  Do you continue to assume its just about an excellent cut up?

2:33

Avatar Jason Martinez: They will’t completely ignore spring stats (Higgy has been nice, identical to 2024; Heim continues to not hit) however I feel the plan is to be as near 50/50 as potential after which go along with the new hand all through the season. If something has modified, I feel Higgy’s possibilities of beginning on Opening Day and getting a slight edge in enjoying time have elevated.

2:34

Spherical: When will groups begin placing injured gamers on the 7-day IL?

2:35

Avatar Jon Becker: Groups can solely backdate IL (10 days for place gamers, 15 for pitchers; 7-day is simply within the minors) stints by three days, so there’s no level till ILing anybody till Opening Day. Undecided they’re even allowed to till then.

2:35

Cromulent: If spring coaching dispatches are to be believed it sounds just like the race for the Royals fifth starter is fairly shut between Bubic and Lynch. Might you elaborate on why you’ve got Bubic fifth and the way shut this race may really be?

2:38

Avatar Jason Martinez: So long as the Royals are going to offer Bubic an opportunity to begin, it’s going to be to start with of the season or under no circumstances. As soon as he’s again within the bullpen, the place he dominated final season, it will likely be troublesome to construct him again up.

2:38

Man: Probabilities of a majors roster spot for Ben Brown and Heston Kjerstad?

2:39

Avatar Jon Becker: 95%+ for Kjerstad and possibly 50/50 for Brown? O’s are going to combine and match quite a bit; Brown is on the journey roster to Japan they usually nonetheless have time to determine between Brown, Rea, and Wicks for the fifth SP spot.

2:39

br0wnpants: Do you guys envision Donovan Solano getting any time at 2B for Seattle this yr? Looks as if his projected function is proscribed in the event that they enter the season with Tellez on the roster and the offensive flooring of Moore/Bliss is fairly low

2:42

Avatar Jason Martinez: Most likely not a lot 2B. He’ll catch every little thing however doesn’t have the vary to play there anymore. He’s effective at 3B. I feel the plan is generally DH/3B and occasional begins at 1B/2B. Ought to get 300-400 PA.

2:42

Straightforward E: Are the Brewers viewing Garrett Mitchell as a full time OF heading into the season?

2:43

Avatar Jon Becker: Completely. It’s Chourio, Frelick, Mitchell, and Yelich for the three spots however Yelich will spend a whole lot of time at DH. Maybe Frelick or Mitchell sit towards lefties for Canha, Capra, or Durbin however they received’t be totally be shielded from southpaws both.

2:43

Arno: Given Giolito’s delay, how do you see the Fitts/Priester battle for fifth starter enjoying out?

2:45

Avatar Jason Martinez: Good probability they’re each on the roster (Giolito, Bello on IL) except Criswell or Newcomb win a spot. After which they need to every get at the least 2 common season begins. Possibly 3. That’s an excellent alternative to show they belong when the Pink Sox want a starter once more.

2:46

drplantwrench: How a lot do you guys learn into Spring Coaching stats? i really feel like its exhausting to disregard nice/horrible performances, however on the identical time, none of this actually issues

2:47

Avatar Jon Becker: I personally don’t care a lot in any respect apart from guys who’re really preventing for spots, when the efficiency can really be a needle-mover. However it’s enjoyable to see which definitely-on-the-roster gamers have new pitches, throw tougher, hit the ball tougher, or are attempting out new positions, no matter outcomes.

2:49

Avatar Jason Martinez: A number of roster battles are so shut that the spring stats will probably be a deciding issue. Nevertheless it’s actually as much as the crew to find out whether or not it issues or not. Like, Gavin Sheets will destroy AAA pitching and it’s not a shock that he’s crushing the ball in ST. That would imply completely nothing however he has supposedly made adjustments in his hitting method. So the Padres must decide if the enhancements are actual and can assist him throughout the season. As a result of he received’t do that towards MLB pitchers throughout the season if he’s the identical man as he was with the White Sox the previous 2 years.

2:49

Rose: Odds Mason Montgomery is the Rays nearer by seasons finish?

2:50

Avatar Jason Martinez: It’s the Rays so who is aware of what they’ll do. I feel it’s extra doubtless that they use him in a multi-inning function with occasional save probabilities after which give him an opportunity to begin once more heading into 2026. If he turns into their “nearer”, he’s most likely there within the bullpen for good. I don’t assume that’s the plan.

2:51

AL Central Casting: Assuming no accidents over the subsequent few weeks, candidates for the ultimate two place participant roster spots on the Twins appear to be right down to Lee, Julien, and Gasper. How do you see this shaking out?

2:52

Avatar Jon Becker: Lee and Julien has been our projection all offseason and I feel we’ll stick to that except the Twins give us purpose in any other case. Gasper having the ability to catch would assist his case on a whole lot of different groups however not a ton for a crew that has two catchers entrenched.

2:53

Phil: Is Yoshida extra harm than the crew is letting on (once more), or is he nonetheless simply not an incredible roster match? I’m not studying each single phrase of Pink Sox protection however I simply really feel like I’ve barely seen his identify all spring.

2:56

Avatar Jason Martinez: I feel it’s now not an incredible roster match and the truth that he hasn’t been in a position to play protection makes him a foul bench candidate. I haven’t modified the projection but as a result of he has been DHing and that’s what his main function has been. However they could put him on the IL to begin the season. Devers could be the DH, Bregman would play 3B, and Kristian Campbell (or another person) would play 2B. Then they’ll fear about what to do with Yoshida afterward. There is no such thing as a doubt that they’ve tried to commerce him and can proceed to strive. He can hit. Simply not sufficient for the quantity of $ he makes.

2:57

You say goodbye, I say Halo: Would the Angels be higher off making Trout the complete time DH and placing Soler in RF?  Or at the least have them cut up duties at each positions?  Certain, it’s an enormous defensive downgrade in RF utilizing Soler, however in the event you actually need Trout wholesome, enjoying RF every single day will nonetheless go away him extra weak to damage.

2:59

Avatar Jon Becker: I keep in mind studying in some unspecified time in the future within the final couple years that the Angels had been involved about Trout DHing really being worse as a result of he’d simply find yourself taking swings within the cage on a regular basis in between plate appearances and put extra put on on his physique than he would working round for a handful of performs within the outfield. He’ll get his share of DH time simply to maintain him recent however Soler in RF is a catastrophe that they’d prefer to keep away from having to observe too usually.

2:59

David: I feel your roster useful resource is improper concerning the Dodgers CF. All the excitement out of camp is that Pages will make the crew over Outman

3:02

Avatar Jason Martinez: I feel that was the excitement for many of camp however Outman has made it a detailed name. He was additionally fairly good a pair years in the past and the Dodgers haven’t forgotten that. Their bench is all right-handed hitters, too, so I feel Outman might get an edge by giving them a left-handed batter to play CF. With that mentioned, the Cubs are beginning two LHP (Imanaga, Steele) so Outman received’t begin within the Tokyo Collection. After which they’ll determine prior to three/27 whether or not to hold Outman or Pages.

3:02

Avatar Jason Martinez: I’m RosterResource, by the best way. laughing

3:03

Chip: Any doubt that Nolan Jones is beginning and enjoying 140+ video games?

3:04

Avatar Jon Becker: I feel he’ll be the beginning LF to open the yr, however 140+ video games is fairly excessive to me. Bouchard and Beck might each begin towards LHP to push Jones to the bench, and if Jones hits like he did final yr he received’t maintain the beginning spot very lengthy with Veen and Yanquiel doubtlessly debuting this yr.

3:04

diadem: Please listing the minor league SP within the NLthat may have the best affect in 2025.

3:06

Avatar Jason Martinez: A number of that ought to pitch within the majors in 2025 … Dollander (COL), Mathews (STL) Lowder (CIN), Chandler (PIT), Sproat (NYM), Painter (PHI)

3:08

Uncle Festa: Finest guess at a present NL setup reliever who emerges as a better?

3:09

Avatar Jon Becker: Jeremiah Estrada, although it won’t be this yr. His fastball has at all times been ridiculous and he lastly discovered a secondary pitch that works for him in his splitter. Suarez light in direction of the top final yr and it’s actually powerful to succeed throwing almost-exclusively fastballs (except you’re Sean Doolittle). Jason Adam’s an alternative choice from that very same bullpen.

3:10

War2d2: Any perception on why David Robertson hasn’t been signed but? I notice he’s 40, however he was value nearly 2 WAR as a reliever final yr. Appears like somebody ought to be knocking on his door. I hoped the Cubs would carry him again, however apparently they’re going after Lance Lynn as an alternative

3:12

Avatar Jason Martinez: Numerous the veteran gamers who’ve already made loads of $ aren’t eager about taking a deal that’s lower than what they imagine they’re value. They’re additionally conscious of how taking a deal that’s lower than their perceived worth negatively impacts future free brokers.

3:13

Avatar Jon Becker: I’m certain he’s had provides however whenever you’ve achieved what he’s achieved and made the cash he’s made, may as nicely be choosy about $ and crew.

3:13

Nearer sweepstakes: Who do you guys assume will lead these groups in saves:  Boston, Detroit, Kansas Metropolis, and Arizona?

3:14

Avatar Jon Becker: I’ll say Hendriks, Foley, Estévez however not by a lot, and I’ll go off board for the Dbacks and say Drey Jameson emerges because the man, liberating up Puk and Martinez for use as firemen.

3:14

Colaaa: Why is the Kirk beginning video games projection so low when he’s robust defensively and the backup C isn’t any good?  Appears possibly an artifact of the Jansen period?

3:14

Colaaaa: Can’t assist feeling like PT projections for Herrera are low… if he’s as robust offensively as many specialists assume he will probably be, will he actually cede 250 PA to the punchless Pages?  I’m wondering  if his PA will probably be comparable or lower than Bart, Wells and many others.

3:16

Avatar Jason Martinez: I’ve Kirk with 67% of the begins, which is quite a bit today. Take into account that 3 excellent catchers (to date) are already harm and can start the season on the IL. And it’s an extended season. With that mentioned, I can see Kirk getting nearer to 75% if he stays wholesome.

I’ve Herrera with 60% proper now and I might say that there’s a higher probability it’s nearer to 50/50 due to Pages’ protection. If Herrera hits and performs ok protection, I feel 60-65% is reasonable, although.

3:17

Bucs 3b: Simply powerful it out with Hayes’ sub par bat at third?

3:19

Avatar Jon Becker: Yep, he’s making actual cash and is a superb defender so he’s obtained the job. He simply won’t ever elevate the ball constantly, which makes slightly-above-average (which along with his glove might nonetheless be a 5+ win participant) the most effective we might hope for him in a full season.

3:19

Sean: I’m curious to listen to your ideas on the Pirates catching state of affairs. I assume Bart in, however is there a state of affairs the place Endy and Henry Davis each make the crew? Will these guys see time at 1B/DH or DH/OF, respectively?

3:22

Avatar Jason Martinez: Endy hasn’t performed 1B in any respect so I feel that’s most likely not within the plans. I feel there are sufficient at-bats between backup catcher/DH to make it worthwhile to maintain one. Nevertheless it wouldn’t shock me in the event that they each began the season in AAA they usually went with Jason Delay, who’s a extra conventional backup.

3:22

Insert Witty Title Right here: Not a roster query, however ideas on having some kind of pitch depend minimal and most for the times beginning pitcher? Need to throw 70 however not more than 100 would appear like it could carry again the outdated days (the 90’s? Ugh….)

3:23

Avatar Jon Becker: I’m extra in favor of a codified minimal than a most, since there’s that in-built most of 100ish that managers make use of 99% of the time anyway. My concern is that there must be so many cheap sufficient carveouts to the minimal (damage, reaching X variety of pitches in a single inning, giving up X variety of runs, and many others.) that the rule wouldn’t change all that a lot. I suppose even a number of fewer fast hooks is healthier than nothing, although.

3:24

Farlehh: Do you see Tirso Ornelas successful a beginning function out of camp, and do you assume he’ll maintain it? Not such a extremely rated prospect however possibly that helps him get his shot now

3:25

Avatar Jason Martinez: He’s making a robust case for Opening Day however I feel it’s extra doubtless he will get the decision later within the season if Heyward has a sub.700 OPS in mid-Might or June. Much less stress on him that approach.

3:26

Shawn miller: Landen roupp successful the fifth starter job?

3:27

Avatar Jon Becker: It’s trying an increasing number of doubtless each time I see how he or Harrison pitches, Harrison simply isn’t doing nicely with the decrease velocity and Roupp’s curve is a reliable 80-grade pitch. Maintaining a tally of Birdsong right here, too.

3:27

Redlegs: How do you assume Francona handles 1B?  Is it time to unleash CES?

3:28

Avatar Jason Martinez: I feel it’s as much as CES. He hits the crap out of the ball so it’s troublesome to go away him out of the lineup when he’s on the roster. But when he seems extra just like the 2024 model (.513 OPS), he’ll be fortunate to not get despatched to AAA.

3:29

Davy Andrews: Hey guys!

3:29

Avatar Jason Martinez: Hey Davy! Large fan.

3:29

Alex Bregmans 3B Glove: Simply wished to say, as somebody who reads many chats from many various websites, I actually respect the extent of element and consideration you guys give to each query. Nearly each different chat I’ve learn would give one phrase solutions to the place you set actual thought into what you say, and it’s really beautiful

3:30

Avatar Jason Martinez: We respect it! Not good in any respect with the fast/quick solutions. The objective is to answer with a considerate reply inside 2-3 minutes of posting the query.

3:31

Avatar Jason Martinez: That can do it for as we speak. Benefit from the Tokyo Collection (official video games!!!) and we’ll chat once more subsequent Friday.

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