2025 Arnold Palmer Invitational: Odds, Bets, and Analysis

The PGA Tour continues its journey round Florida at Bay Hill Golf Membership for the Arnold Palmer Invitational. Check out this weekend’s odds, picks, and greatest bets.

Betting at Bay Hill

The Favorites

The favourite coming into the Arnold Palmer is defending champion Scottie Sheffler. Scheffler has a powerful monitor document at Bay Hill, with victories in 2022 and 2024, and a T-4 end in 2023. You may take Sheffler at +300 to win and maintain his crown.

A previous winner in 2018, Rory McIlroy boasts a stellar document at Bay Hill, by no means ending exterior the highest 30 in 10 appearances. His present streak contains eight consecutive top-20 finishes at this occasion, underscoring his consistency. He enters Arnold Palmer Invitational with odds round +750.

Mcilory and Sheffler are the one two gamers within the subject this week who’re below +1000 odds. Actually, no different gamers within the subject may even be discovered below +1500. Xander Schauffele and Ludvig Aberg are the one two gamers you possibly can at present take round these odds. This might depart a giant gap in Vegas’s pocket if considered one of these 4 males isn’t hoisting a trophy Sunday night.

Contenders and Longshots

Shane Lowry has been touted all week as somebody who can pull this event off. Windy situations on Thursday and Sunday will make it really feel like a house course for the Irishman. The elite iron recreation in Lowry’s possession will probably be essential. At +6500, the worth is there for Shane Lowry to place some severe coin within the folks’s pocket.

Russell Henley’s kind can’t be ignored proper now. Within the final 5 occasions, Henley has completed top-10 in 4 of them. His accuracy off the tee and work across the inexperienced could be the distinction on the weekend. +2800 to complete as high American is certainly one thing to concentrate to.

One other participant who’s been heating up is Patrick Cantlay. Cantlay’s completed top-5 twice already this 12 months with a top-15 end at The Sentry. Cantal can reap the benefits of the robust situations together with his premier iron play. Having no wins on Tour since 2022 could be a tricky probability to take him as an outright winner. A top-10 end at +240 generally is a comparatively protected play.

Ugly Odds

It’s very robust to take a look at the board and discover a lot worth in Xander Shauffele to win the tournaments. Getting back from a two-month damage hiatus, Schauffele’s odds stand at +1800. Whereas he’s a world-class expertise, the shortage of current aggressive play raises questions on his readiness to contend instantly.

It’s very obscure why Tommy Fleetwood’s is a top-10 favourite this weekend. To his credit score, he has been taking part in nicely ending T5 on the Genesis Invitational. Nevertheless it’s exhausting to see a world the place a participant with zero all-time PGA Tour wins pulls it off at Bay Hill. A top-10 and even top-5 end ought to be what bettors look in direction of.

As this is likely one of the largest non-major tournaments of the 12 months, we don’t know the way a few of these gamers will deal with the stress. With monsters like Sheffler and McIlroy main the way in which, it’s extraordinarily troublesome to seek out who can poke their head by. However play it sensible and a few severe cash could be made.

Important photograph credit score: © Reinhold Matay-Imagn Photos