Again when Jayson Tatum was drafted in 2017, not many scouts predicted he would grow to be greater than a scorer. After a terrific freshman 12 months at Duke, the same old draft comparisons had been made with high-volume isolation scorers who lacked passing abilities, reminiscent of Carmelo Anthony or Harrison Barnes. There have been considerations about his capacity to develop right into a playmaker.
NBADraft.web stated, “he isn’t probably the most snug playmaker on the transfer.” Sports activities Illustrated scouts had been aligned, writing that, “he’s creating as a passer however isn’t a playmaker with the ball in his arms.” Equally, Bleacher Report scouts voiced considerations about his passing, noting, “his shot choice and incapability to search out the open man in sure conditions had been considerations for me,” and “he’s undoubtedly not a shoot-it-or-move-it man.”
There is no such thing as a disgrace in not foreseeing Jayson Tatum’s potential as a playmaking and passing wing again then. After 29 video games within the NCAA with Duke, he had simply 62 assists to 76 turnovers over practically 1,000 minutes. With 16.8 factors per recreation and solely 2.1 assists, the steadiness was clearly tilted towards scoring for JT. And to be truthful, it took just a few years to vary.
Into the small print
To know a participant’s tendency to playmake or rating, we use Cleansing the Glass’s playmaking ratio. The “assist-to-usage ratio (AST:Usg)” statistic supplies a transparent image of a participant’s steadiness. Move-first level guards sometimes have an AST:Usg above 1, whereas finishers fall beneath the 0.5 mark. Early in his profession, Jayson Tatum’s numbers had been firmly within the latter.
Wanting on the numbers, Tatum was primarily a scorer. The primary shift got here after the bubble, when Kemba Walker handed over the offensive reins to Tatum and Jaylen Brown. From 2019–20 to 2020–21, his utilization price rose from 28% to 31%, whereas his help price elevated from 14% to twenty%. This was his first step towards changing into a playmaker and an offense’s major creator. Nonetheless, progress stagnated till this season.
This season, whereas his utilization price is much like final season’s, Tatum’s help price has taken one other leap, transferring him nearer to the realm of a major playmaker. For context, offensive stars with a playmaking ratio of 0.8 or barely larger embody De’Aaron Fox, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, and Kyrie Irving—guards recognized for his or her playmaking capacity.
With Kristaps Porziņģis again from harm, this quantity might climb even larger — Tatum has already assisted him 9 occasions since his return. As for the remainder of the Celtics, Derrick White is the largest recipient of Tatum’s passing, with 30 assists from JT to D-White to this point. Over the primary few video games of the season, they’ve developed into an unstoppable pick-and-roll duo, with each gamers able to setting screens, pulling up, and executing short-roll passes to the rim.
Talking of pick-and-roll, Tatum’s capacity to set screens is without doubt one of the Celtics’ hidden gems. This usually creates panic in opponents’ minds and forces defensive collapses. Now that we’ve delved into Tatum’s passing stats, let’s study his on-court execution. We’ve glimpsed his expertise in pick-and-rolls with Derrick White; now, let’s discover his passing repertoire — left hand, proper hand, two-handed, and no-look passes — from the season’s early video games.
Left hand dishes
With the ability to ship a live-dribble move with the weak hand opens up numerous alternatives for Tatum. Beforehand, groups might double-team him and drive him to retreat to his left. This usually disrupted the offense.
Now, with improved ball-handling and left-handed passing, groups take higher dangers when scheming in opposition to his left. Along with his left, he can ship exact passes to rim runners, creating probably the most environment friendly photographs in basketball.
Whereas 20% of his assists are on the rim, 18% go to the nook—one other high-efficiency zone. The left-handed live-dribble move makes this much more harmful for opponents. The Celtics’ spacing permits the Jays to thrive in drive-and-kick eventualities.
Tatum’s newfound capacity to ship bullet passes together with his left hand at full pace provides one other layer of problem for defenses.
Proper hand and over the pinnacle passes
It’s straightforward to overlook how efficient Tatum is together with his proper hand—or with two arms. His improved deal with has been a game-changer. Evaluate his play within the 2022 Finals to now. He’s a unique participant. Tatum generally operates as a 6’8” level guard, operating pick-and-rolls with poise and delivering exact passes, whether or not on the bounce or not.
Why spotlight two-handed passes? If Tatum can move effectively with both hand, why does it matter? First, it showcases his measurement benefit. Outsized playmakers like Tatum can ship cross-court, two-handed passes over defenders with ease.
This top benefit opens up passing lanes and simplifies Tatum’s job. Nonetheless, two-handed passing isn’t straightforward — the courtroom is far larger than it seems to be on TV. Early in his profession, Tatum sometimes overthrew these passes.
Now, he’s mastered them, delivering pinpoint passes over one or two defenders. Tatum is nearing the complete package deal as a passer. The one lacking piece? The no-look move — the final word shenanigan ability for elite playmakers.
The no look move is coming
Whereas the no-look move isn’t totally developed, Tatum is exhibiting indicators of mastery. Take a look at this sequence, the place he senses Derrick Jones Jr. closing in and baits him right into a entice utilizing his courtroom imaginative and prescient.
Jayson Tatum’s development as a passer is redefining his position on the Celtics. From live-dribble left-handed feeds to two-handed cross-court lasers, he’s showcasing a full arsenal that makes him more durable to scheme in opposition to. The no-look move will be the last flourish, however even with out it, Tatum’s playmaking leap is cementing his standing as one of many NBA’s most full gamers.
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